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Jun 06, 2024
In Charts
Nava gave a breakout today from a range in which it was trading from last few months. Stock gave a breakout above 539.
Stock on shorter timeframe 15 min looks like this...
Marked the previous highs at 544 and 539, while AVWAP from recent low of 455 is around 556 which provides retracement buying opportunities which i will be looking forward to.
Disclaimer - No open position.
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Jun 03, 2024
In Charts
KNR Construction - Weekly TF chart showing that stock has now made a new ATH after 2021, a big consolidation has happened in the stock in last couple of years.
Shorter timeframe charts -
Move from the recent lows of 240 has been very swift with CMP at 324 and its 20 DMA at 268 :)
Adding AVWAP to the current move and that comes around 300, which also is around the previous yearly highs of 305, making that zone as a retest of breakout zone for the stock.
In short 300-305 is the zone to watchout for this stock going ahead because that's retest of breakout + AVWAP reference from recent low.
Read about MarketMind Academy on this link https://www.indianstockss.com/marketmindacademy
Here we are focused on discussion around stocks which gave a decent move post earnings and finding low risk entries there and much more.
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May 29, 2024
In Charts
Johnson Controls has given a strong breakout post recent earnings from prev yearly highs above 1393. Stock closed up 20% UC post earnings and above the resistance of 1393. Stock is now trading near to 1759, stock has given a move of about 49% after results.
After a big up move usually stock gives a cool off / goes sideways to its AVWAP of this move / pullback lows or the 20 DMA support levels.
AVWAP since earning day is around 1639 & its 20 DMA is around 1315 for now.
Retest of breakout is around level of 1393.
Let's refer this below chart for the above data points.
Read about MarketMind Academy on this link https://www.indianstockss.com/marketmindacademy
Here we are focused on discussion around stocks which gave a decent move post earnings and finding low risk entries there and much more.
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May 28, 2024
In Charts
Finolex Cables stock has given a strong breakout post recent earnings, the stock was range bound since Sept'23
What's next ?
Since this is a bullish breakout, we can now only wait for stock to cool off to its AVWAP of this move / pullback lows or the 20 DMA support levels.
AVWAP of current move around 1285
20 DMA is yet to catch up with the current up move its around 1086
Retest of breakout level - Where is that ?
The stock has breakout out above 1219, the retest of breakout will be around that level.
The stock is most likely to go sideways and give a dip to these above discussed levels/ references , its usually a combined effort these AVWAP, 20 DMA are going to come close to the price and a dip on prices will provide a lower risk entry opportunity in future.
Read about MarketMind Academy on this link https://www.indianstockss.com/marketmindacademy
Here we are focused on discussion around stocks which gave a decent move post earnings and finding low risk entries there and much more.
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Feb 28, 2024
In Charts
NVIDIA - Stock came out with earnings on 21st Feb and saw a massive gap and rally next day backed by earnings.
The stock opened gap up next day and started to fizzle out a bit, stock has now broken the low of the candle formed at the range high, this is the 1st point I look as a sign of tiredness in a stock where market interest is high but stock stops going higher.
NVIDIA - Stock has started to do AVWAP rejection from ATH levels and also it has broken below the AVWAP from earning gap up. Making it look like the buyer post earnings gap is loosing its control and not able to hold prices up.
I have marked 764 as a 1st pullback low from the day of earnings and price should correct sharply once breaks below that level.
Since I am a mean reverting trader and seldom looks for contra trade where market interest is higher, while looking at the above set of data I have a -ve view on the stock and will look for sell trades around the references like pullback high and avwap rejections.
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Dec 05, 2023
In Charts
Gold weekly - Getting into the previous resistance zone.
Gold Daily - Gold on 4th Dec tried a breakout and went on to hit a new ATH, but the breakout did not sustain and prices retraced to come back inside the range.
What was the 1st thing that Gold did in previous occurances of ATH ?
It came back to test the 21 DMA for it.
21 DMA this time is around 1994, so that level should be expected as a short term support next. How the action around the level is to be seen and will be covered again.
Share the post if you found it interesting.
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126
Dec 03, 2023
In Charts
Daily Chart of Apollo Hospital -
Stock has given a recetange breakout recently and has also done a retest of the breakout at around 5354 levels.
Read more about rectangle breakout on the link - https://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/08/rectangle-formation.asp(https://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/08/rectangle-formation.asp)
The height of the rectangle is 630 odd points.
Lets have a look at the weekly charts now. ATH for the stock is around 5900 and that also coinsides with the target projection of the rectangle breakout.
Disclaimer: - No open position at time of post. Above post is not a stock recommendation.
https://www.indianstockss.com/disclaimer
You can check out TradersClub learning module - Explore ways to trade in F&O segment effectively on the link - https://www.indianstockss.com/tradersclub-3(https://www.indianstockss.com/tradersclub-3)
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Sep 09, 2023
In Index Views
Nifty has made a great come back after a down month in August.
Now the upside reference for Index is at the 1st pullback high 19867 and the ATH reference 19991.85
A Key level below which index becomes negative again is 19550, as its the low of the candle which did a change of strcture on 7th Sept 2023
Disclaimer: - Views are just for discussion and education purpose only and not to be treated as any investment advise. I don't have open positions in Index discussed.
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Aug 25, 2023
In Charts
NVIDIA - It was one of the most awaited earnings for this season. Stock gave a big gap up only to close lower and fill the intraday gap it had created.
Stock never made a new day high post opening higher. It clearly reflected how markets were positioned going into the earnings. Follow up buying was missing.
Now if we look at the daily chart in isolation, there is a big -ve candle at range high with higher volumes. Stock will become bullish only post crossing the high of candle made on 24th Aug 23.
Disclosure - No position. Educational posts only highlight the current state of the chart.
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Jul 24, 2023
In Charts
Ashok Leyland - Weekly ATH close post earnings on 21st July.
Ashok Leyland - Daily chart stong close, while failure of breakout expected below friday day low at 174.65
Disclaimer: - No open position at time of post, looking to build an option strcuture in Aug series with bullish bias.
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Jul 07, 2023
In Charts
FORTIS- Stock has broadly under performed its peers in last few years but the stocks now looks ready to do a move.
How ? - Explained below.
Fortis Weekly line chart - This chart presents a better picture, stock has already given a decent breakout from range above 299.
Fortis daily line chart - On daily timeframe the stock gives a breakout above 321 and just yesterday stock did an all time high close above the 321 level.
When a stock gets into uncharted teretory after many years, all supply of the stock gets absorbed and the move up becomes easy.
Relative performance of hospital stocks since Fortis made a last high in Sept' 21
Relative performance of hospital stocks since start of 2020.
Disclaimer : - The above charts shared are for education purpose only, study used to select the chart is ATH close and the recent show of strength. I do have open position in the mentioned stock at the time of this post.
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180
Jul 04, 2023
In Index Views
Playlist for Index View on Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R_Lbo3EwPjc&list=PLDcxJi7IvrPq3YH3cD7Y6bcbk4h_sfBXC&ab_channel=IndianStockss
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Jul 04, 2023
Learn to trade your existing holdings based on long term demand / supply levels | #Marketरुबरु EP 40
In Miscellaneous
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Apr 04, 2023
In Charts
ACC - One of the Adani group stock which managed to hit a new yearly low seems to have given a failed break down on daily chart. A Tweet was also shared to highlight this view on chart - https://twitter.com/indian_stockss/status/1642134287746211847?s=20 Now how to play this view ? Multiple ways to play a bullish view in a stock, but than the 1st question is is the stock bullish 😅 I have selected a way to play a view of break down failure on this stock via call ratio where downside risk is defined at the time of the trade initiation. Below are my open position for this stock with a view that it should stay in range and give some bounce from here. How to manage this option strcture going forward ? If stock goes down - the risk is defined, also a roll down of short CE can be done to a closer strike If stock stays here - Is like the best outcome If stock goes up - Stock going up to 1750 is fine but above that its going to hurt due to the high ratio, for which we will be rolling up the short CEs above 1750-1760 zone to keep m2m in check. All trades that I take are discussed with the #TradersClub members, all the aspects of risks, management and view on the stock is discussed before initiating any position. #TradersClub learning session is scheduled for 15 & 16th April, details on link - https://www.indianstockss.com/tradersclub-1 Disclaimer : - The above charts shared are for education purpose only, study used to select the chart is failed breakdown. I do have open position in the mentioned stock in form of option structure as shared above.
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Mar 30, 2023
In Charts
Highlighting few out performing stocks across sectors today since Nifty has hit a recent low on 20th March 2023 TVS Motors - Stock has broadly out performed the down move in the auto space and is showing signs of up move Bank of Baroda - Stock has not participated much in the downside move and is stable since days. ICICI Pru - Recent action in the stock has been of double bottom and stock is not getting downside followup now. AB Capital - Stock has given a shallow correction and is now back nearly to its recent highs, clear signs of strength visible here. Titan - Stock bottomed in Feb 2023, while Index was still going down. Stock is now around a level from which it can give a change of structure breakout. Dalmia Bharat - Cement space has been doing well recently in last 10 days with stocks up from 2-7% from F&O space. There will be many more names which will get added to this list if there is a continued bounce in markets, Chart in markets were looking so bad just a few days back that getting follow-up sell from those was a tough task. We can now either look for out performance in stocks to find winners or failed break down on downside to find a contra long trade. #TradersClub learning session scheduled for 15 & 16th April, Details on link - https://www.indianstockss.com/tradersclub-1 Disclaimer : - The above charts shared are for education purpose only, study used to select the chart is relative strength. I do not have any open position in the mentioned stocks at the time of this post.
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Dec 28, 2022
In Index Views
How to we understand more about markets ? By spending more time in markets, looking at more price action or whatever study we follow. How to we understand more about AVWAP ? By following the master Brian Shannon, just have a look at his latest one on AVWAP yesterday https://twitter.com/alphatrends/status/1607518546158026753?s=20&t=1t67fuYy-Uh_sVuzRzCWNw Now expanding on similar lines on our markets. We saw a sharp dip recently and there has been a decent bounce back in markets and broader markets. Where comes the first resistance ? First resistance comes in at the AVWAP from highs, if this is crossed then we are likely to move up. While the downside support comes at 42533 and a break of it most likely can lead to retest of the lows. Disclosure: No open positions in BankNifty.
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Aug 03, 2022
In Charts
Siemens - Gave a failed breakout yesterday before results and today attack. Game is mostly same everywhere on different timeframe - Trap bulls, trap bears.
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Jul 17, 2022
In Index Views
Nifty 50 last week had an inside bar on weekly charts last week, market was not able to break the highs and lows of previous week, meanwhile previous week was a strong action on upside. Hence expectations are if we are going to break the highs that can be the higher probability move in direction of previous move. Lets have a look at the shorter timeframe references, upside we have 16146 -16194 as a gap zone which can be targeted by bulls on upside, while 15927 and 15858 remains he downside references. Lets check the AVWAP on options also called life VWAP for option - https://www.indianstockss.com/forum/miscellaneous/how-to-judge-if-option-seller-is-loosing-introducing-the-concept-of-life-vwap-for-an-option Nifty 16000 CE is trading above its life vwap and saw decent dip in OI also towards close on Friday. Nifty 16000 PE is trading below its life vwap and OI was stable thru the day. Disclosure: No open positions in Nifty Index.
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